Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-1 Omiya Ardija (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.9pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+9.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.6pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.49/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.74
+51% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
14.10.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
19.05.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
16.03.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
1-1
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano (K) and Omiya Ardija (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano (K) had 39% of the ball to Omiya Ardija (K)'s 61%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Parceiro Nagano (K) and 0.67 for Omiya Ardija (K).

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-1 Omiya Ardija (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano (K) 36%, draw 26%, Omiya Ardija (K) 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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