Cancun FC 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.84/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.37
+4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
30.10.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 4-1 HT 4-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
10.04.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-2 HT 1-2 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
13.08.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
18.01.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-2 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
26.09.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
19.01.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC squeezed past Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cancun FC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dorados De Sinaloa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cancun FC and 2.00 for Dorados De Sinaloa.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Cancun FC 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 55%, draw 23%, Dorados De Sinaloa 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cancun FC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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