CD Tapatio 1-0 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
1.22/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.51
-25% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Tlaxcala
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3 Corners 7
22.09.2024 Tlaxcala 2-3 HT 1-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
13.03.2024 Tlaxcala 0-3 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
25.08.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
07.05.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
04.05.2023 Tlaxcala 2-2 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
22.02.2023 Tlaxcala 1-2 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio nicked a narrow win over Tlaxcala 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Tapatio as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Tapatio had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.00 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Tlaxcala?

CD Tapatio 1-0 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 44%, draw 28%, Tlaxcala 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Tapatio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
9 Mar 2025
02:00 Atlante vs Leones Negros Udeg Analysis →
04:00 Cancun FC vs Dorados De Sinaloa Analysis →
04:00 Celaya vs Monarcas Morelia Analysis →
06:00 CDS Tampico Madero vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Analysis →