Celaya vs Monarcas Morelia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celaya v Monarcas Morelia — Team-Based Signals
Celaya vs Monarcas Morelia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Celaya
MEK2
1-3
HT 1-0
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
1-1
HT 1-0
Celaya
MEK2
3-2
HT 1-1
Celaya
MEK2
Celaya edged past Monarcas Morelia 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Celaya as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Celaya and 2.00 for Monarcas Morelia.
What was the final score of Celaya vs Monarcas Morelia?
Celaya 1-0 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celaya vs Monarcas Morelia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Celaya 62%, draw 22%, Monarcas Morelia 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celaya) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.