Melgar vs Sporting Cristal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melgar v Sporting Cristal — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs Sporting Cristal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Melgar
PER
0-2
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
2-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
Melgar 1-0 Sporting Cristal — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar edged past Sporting Cristal 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Melgar had 50% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 50%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.98 to 2.17 — on chances, Sporting Cristal could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Melgar and 0.50 for Sporting Cristal.
What was the final score of Melgar vs Sporting Cristal?
Melgar 1-0 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melgar vs Sporting Cristal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Melgar 50%, draw 24%, Sporting Cristal 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.