Wisla Krakow 1-0 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
4.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
2.66
6+ Goals
13%
7.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.58 — our 25% vs market 15.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-10.7pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.1pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.4pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 16%
-19% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +33%
1.78/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.24
-9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +57%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Krakow
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.08 xG 0.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
368 Passes 234
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
10.12.2023 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 4-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
22.07.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-2 HT 1-1 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
03.06.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-3 HT 0-2 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
04.11.2022 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 1-2 HT 1-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
21.02.2022 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 0-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Krakow
1-0
AWAY Gornik Leczna
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wisla Krakow vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Krakow squeezed past Gornik Leczna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wisla Krakow as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wisla Krakow had 60% of the ball to Gornik Leczna's 40%, shots finished 17-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wisla Krakow and 0.83 for Gornik Leczna.

What was the final score of Wisla Krakow vs Gornik Leczna?

Wisla Krakow 1-0 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Krakow vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Wisla Krakow 59%, draw 19%, Gornik Leczna 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Krakow), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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