Sokol Saratov 1-3 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.66
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.56
Over 2.5
51%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.67
No
50%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.8pp
29%
Draw
34%
-4.4pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
60%
-11.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
40%
+11.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
33%
+17.0pp
50%
BTTS No
67%
-17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
0.68/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.23
-38% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
170 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sokol Saratov
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Neftekhimik
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2024 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-0 HT 0-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
19.11.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-0 HT 0-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
14.10.2023 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 2-2 HT 2-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sokol Saratov
1-3
AWAY Neftekhimik
62% Ball Possession 38%
3 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sokol Saratov vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftekhimik beat Sokol Saratov 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Neftekhimik found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sokol Saratov had 62% of the ball to Neftekhimik's 38%, shots finished 3-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sokol Saratov and 0.67 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of Sokol Saratov vs Neftekhimik?

Sokol Saratov 1-3 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sokol Saratov vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sokol Saratov win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sokol Saratov 36%, draw 29%, Neftekhimik 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sokol Saratov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sokol Saratov) ✓ Over 2.5
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