FC Sochi 1-0 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.51
-22% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sochi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ural
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.39 xG 1.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 Passes 275
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2024 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS1
21.04.2024 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-2 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS
22.10.2023 Ural Ural 1-4 HT 1-3 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
03.06.2023 Ural Ural 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
30.10.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-2 HT 1-1 Ural Ural RUS
20.10.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-3 HT 1-2 Ural Ural RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sochi
1-0
AWAY Ural
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sochi nicked a narrow win over Ural 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Sochi as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, FC Sochi had 46% of the ball to Ural's 54%, shots finished 10-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ural led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Sochi and 1.83 for Ural.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Ural?

FC Sochi 1-0 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 45%, draw 27%, Ural 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sochi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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