Shinnik 0-1 SKA Khabarovsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.5pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.9pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.14/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.70
+0% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
1W-2D-3L
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2024 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
12.05.2024 Shinnik Shinnik 2-1 HT 2-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
18.02.2024 Shinnik Shinnik 0-0 HT 0-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk HAZ
16.07.2023 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
06.11.2022 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 3-1 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
05.12.2020 Shinnik Shinnik 2-3 HT 1-2 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
0-1
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs SKA Khabarovsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKA Khabarovsk nicked a narrow win over Shinnik 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Shinnik at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shinnik had 59% of the ball to SKA Khabarovsk's 41%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SKA Khabarovsk led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shinnik and 1.50 for SKA Khabarovsk.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Shinnik 0-1 SKA Khabarovsk in the Russia - FNL on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shinnik win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 45%, draw 28%, SKA Khabarovsk 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shinnik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shinnik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
9 Mar 2025
13:00 Sokol Saratov vs Neftekhimik Analysis →
16:00 FC Sochi vs Ural Analysis →
17:00 Torpedo Moscow vs FK Ufa Analysis →