Krylya Sovetov 0-2 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
4.01
6+ Goals
11%
18.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.01 — our 24% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.11
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
16%
4.96
X/2
8%
6.71
X/X
13%
4.24
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
17%
4.98
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.72/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+17% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.5 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Akron
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.04 xG 1.38
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
310 Passes 263
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Akron Akron 2-0 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
02.05.2021 Akron Akron 1-2 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS1
07.11.2020 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-0 HT 3-0 Akron Akron RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0-2
AWAY Akron
1.11 xG 1.75
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
367 Passes 239
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 29
32 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron beat Krylya Sovetov 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Krylya Sovetov at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 58% of the ball to Akron's 42%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.11 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Krylya Sovetov had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 1.00 for Akron.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Akron?

Krylya Sovetov 0-2 Akron in the Russia - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krylya Sovetov win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 43%, draw 27%, Akron 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Krylya Sovetov), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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