Rubin Kazan 2-1 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
51%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
4.16
6+ Goals
10%
19.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.48
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
16.2
X/1
8%
8.85
X/2
16%
4.12
X/X
9%
4.53
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.34
2/X
9%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.14/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.70
-35% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +0%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
14.4 Crosses 19.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.80 xG 1.24
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
216 Passes 403
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
19.05.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-1 HT 2-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
05.08.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-4 HT 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
16.04.2022 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-1 HT 0-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
24.07.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
14.07.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-4 HT 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
2-1
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.81 xG 2.37
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
138 Passes 369
60% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 26
5 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan edged past Spartak Moskova 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Moskova at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 32% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 68%, shots finished 7-23, expected goals 0.81 to 2.37 — on chances, Spartak Moskova could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rubin Kazan and 2.17 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Spartak Moskova?

Rubin Kazan 2-1 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 24%, draw 25%, Spartak Moskova 51%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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