Akron 2-0 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

Akron
2-0 HT 1-0
Krylya Sovetov
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Akron vs Krylya Sovetov Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.17
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.19
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
7.16
X/2
12%
4.6
X/X
8%
4.69
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.78
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · X/1 at 7.16 — our 18% vs market 10.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
28%
+10.9pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.4pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Akron v Krylya Sovetov — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
0.99/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.51
+37% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
19.9 Crosses 29.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Akron vs Krylya Sovetov Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.05.2021 Akron Akron 1-2 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS1
07.11.2020 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-0 HT 3-0 Akron Akron RUS1

Akron 2-0 Krylya Sovetov — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
2-0
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.38 xG 2.04
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
263 Passes 310
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Akron vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron beat Krylya Sovetov 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 40%) promised a tight game; Akron found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Akron had 46% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 54%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.38 to 2.04 — on chances, Krylya Sovetov could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Krylya Sovetov led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Akron and 2.50 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Akron vs Krylya Sovetov?

Akron 2-0 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krylya Sovetov win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Akron 39%, draw 21%, Krylya Sovetov 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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