FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
4.12
6+ Goals
11%
19.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.12 — our 24% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.37
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
18%
3.89
X/2
7%
8.66
X/X
13%
4.53
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
13%
7.17
2/X
6%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.71/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.54
+4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
18.1 Crosses 14.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.24 xG 1.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
310 Passes 231
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.09.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
31.07.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 4-1 HT 2-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
28.04.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 5-1 HT 2-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
14.08.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
11.11.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-2 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
10.09.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-3 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pari Nizhny Novgorod beat FC Akhmat Grozny 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Akhmat Grozny at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 1.83 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 48%, draw 24%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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