Fakel 1-1 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

Fakel
1-1 HT 1-1
Khimki
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.03
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.04
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
16%
5.34
X/2
11%
5.33
X/X
12%
3.7
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.04
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.91/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.11
-34% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
23.0 Crosses 20.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Khimki
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.73 xG 1.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
180 Passes 221
62% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2023 Fakel Fakel 1-1 HT 1-1 Khimki Khimki RUS
15.10.2022 Khimki Khimki 0-0 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
21.09.2019 Fakel Fakel 0-3 HT 0-2 Khimki Khimki RUS1
21.10.2017 Fakel Fakel 0-1 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
1-1
AWAY Khimki
1.18 xG 0.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
222 Passes 215
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
37 Box Touches 24
31 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fakel vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fakel and Khimki shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Fakel had 50% of the ball to Khimki's 50%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.18 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Khimki led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Fakel and 1.25 for Khimki.

What was the final score of Fakel vs Khimki?

Fakel 1-1 Khimki in the Russia - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fakel 39%, draw 28%, Khimki 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fakel), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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