Nakhon Ratchasima 3-1 Khonkaen Utd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Khonkaen Utd EU Bookmakers 28%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.07/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.41
-24% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 74%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
23.3 Crosses 15.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Khonkaen Utd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.63 xG 0.87
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
228 Passes 219
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 0-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
26.02.2023 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 3-2 HT 1-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
01.10.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 1-0 HT 1-0 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
12.02.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 1-2 HT 0-1 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
06.10.2021 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 1-1 HT 1-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
3-1
AWAY Khonkaen Utd
2.14 xG 1.78
40% Ball Possession 60%
22 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 10
184 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 28
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nakhon Ratchasima vs Khonkaen Utd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Ratchasima beat Khonkaen Utd 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nakhon Ratchasima as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 40% of the ball to Khonkaen Utd's 60%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 2.14 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Khonkaen Utd led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nakhon Ratchasima and 1.20 for Khonkaen Utd.

What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Khonkaen Utd?

Nakhon Ratchasima 3-1 Khonkaen Utd in the Thailand - 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Khonkaen Utd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Ratchasima win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 44%, draw 27%, Khonkaen Utd 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nakhon Ratchasima), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nakhon Ratchasima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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