Ratchaburi 4-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.8pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.5pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.8pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.63/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.60
-18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
20.5 Crosses 13.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.53 xG 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 Passes 226
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Nong Bua Pitchaya 5-3 HT 4-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
05.02.2023 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 2-1 HT 2-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya TAY
02.09.2022 Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-2 HT 0-2 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
23.04.2022 Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
21.11.2021 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3-2 HT 1-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
4-0
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya
2.61 xG 0.57
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
480 Passes 213
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 15
33 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi cruised past Nong Bua Pitchaya 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ratchaburi as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 66% of the ball to Nong Bua Pitchaya's 34%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.61 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ratchaburi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Ratchaburi and 1.80 for Nong Bua Pitchaya.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Ratchaburi 4-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thailand - 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 57%, draw 24%, Nong Bua Pitchaya 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ratchaburi), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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