Muang Thong United 1-2 Thai Port FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -20%
1.75/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.29
+101% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
15.5 Crosses 22.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muang Thong United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Thai Port FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.00 xG 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
320 Passes 273
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
14.02.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 4-3 HT 0-2 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
28.08.2023 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 1-3 HT 0-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
05.03.2023 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 2-3 HT 2-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
09.10.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 0-0 HT 0-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
05.02.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-1 HT 1-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muang Thong United
1-2
AWAY Thai Port FC
1.36 xG 1.39
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
367 Passes 235
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Muang Thong United vs Thai Port FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thai Port FC nicked a narrow win over Muang Thong United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Muang Thong United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Muang Thong United had 59% of the ball to Thai Port FC's 41%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.36 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Muang Thong United and 1.83 for Thai Port FC.

What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Thai Port FC?

Muang Thong United 1-2 Thai Port FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Thai Port FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 47%, draw 22%, Thai Port FC 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Muang Thong United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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