Monastir 1-0 Olympique Beja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.53
No
66%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.07
6+ Goals
10%
20.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 32% vs market 31.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
34%
BTTS Yes
36%
-1.4pp
66%
BTTS No
64%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monastir EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympique Beja EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
3.04/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.23
+86% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +29%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monastir
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Olympique Beja
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2024 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 1-3 HT 0-3 Monastir Monastir TUN1
26.06.2023 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 1-3 HT 0-1 Monastir Monastir TUN1
08.05.2023 Monastir Monastir 3-0 HT 2-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN
19.01.2023 Monastir Monastir 0-1 HT 0-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1B
20.10.2022 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 0-0 HT 0-0 Monastir Monastir TUN1B
10.04.2022 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 0-0 HT 0-0 Monastir Monastir TUN1B
POST-MATCH Monastir vs Olympique Beja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monastir edged past Olympique Beja 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monastir as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monastir had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monastir and 0.50 for Olympique Beja.

What was the final score of Monastir vs Olympique Beja?

Monastir 1-0 Olympique Beja in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monastir vs Olympique Beja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monastir win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Monastir 57%, draw 23%, Olympique Beja 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monastir), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monastir) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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