Stade Tunisien vs EGS Gafsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stade Tunisien v EGS Gafsa — Team-Based Signals
Stade Tunisien vs EGS Gafsa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-3
Stade Tunisien
TUN1A
2-2
HT 0-1
EGS Gafsa
TUN1A
2-1
EGS Gafsa
TUN2
3-1
HT 3-1
Stade Tunisien
TNUSK
Stade Tunisien 2-1 EGS Gafsa — Actual Match Statistics
Stade Tunisien squeezed past EGS Gafsa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Stade Tunisien as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Stade Tunisien had 52% of the ball to EGS Gafsa's 48%, shots finished 5-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Tunisien had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Stade Tunisien and 1.33 for EGS Gafsa.
What was the final score of Stade Tunisien vs EGS Gafsa?
Stade Tunisien 2-1 EGS Gafsa in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stade Tunisien vs EGS Gafsa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Tunisien win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Stade Tunisien 57%, draw 27%, EGS Gafsa 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Tunisien) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.