Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 Zarzis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.29
2-3 Goals
46%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.68
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.9pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Zarzis EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.71/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.77
+22% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -30%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Zarzis
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 Zarzis Zarzis 2-3 HT 2-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
16.03.2022 Zarzis Zarzis 0-3 HT 0-2 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1B
POST-MATCH Etoile Du Sahel vs Zarzis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zarzis squeezed past Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Etoile Du Sahel carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Etoile Du Sahel and 1.00 for Zarzis.

What was the final score of Etoile Du Sahel vs Zarzis?

Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 Zarzis in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Du Sahel vs Zarzis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Du Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Etoile Du Sahel 56%, draw 25%, Zarzis 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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