Thanh Hoa 2-2 Hoang Anh Gia Lai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.61
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
58%
-15.7pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.4pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thanh Hoa EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
1.92/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.00
+8% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thanh Hoa
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-1 HT 0-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
30.05.2024 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-1 HT 1-1 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
02.03.2024 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 1-2 HT 0-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
19.05.2023 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-2 HT 1-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
13.11.2022 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 2-3 HT 0-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
24.07.2022 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-0 HT 1-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thanh Hoa
2-2
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Thanh Hoa vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thanh Hoa and Hoang Anh Gia Lai couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Thanh Hoa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Thanh Hoa had 65% of the ball to Hoang Anh Gia Lai's 35%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hoang Anh Gia Lai led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Thanh Hoa and 1.83 for Hoang Anh Gia Lai.

What was the final score of Thanh Hoa vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?

Thanh Hoa 2-2 Hoang Anh Gia Lai in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thanh Hoa vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thanh Hoa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Thanh Hoa 42%, draw 33%, Hoang Anh Gia Lai 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Thanh Hoa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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