Carabobo 1-0 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
54%
-15.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.1pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+11.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 21%
+17% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -13%
1.26/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.58
+9% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 71%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
23.9 Crosses 16.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Monagas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.79 xG 0.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
266 Passes 308
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.11.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
31.10.2024 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
09.08.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
19.02.2024 Monagas Monagas 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
13.08.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
01.04.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 3-0 HT 2-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
1-0
AWAY Monagas
0.28 xG 0.45
31% Ball Possession 69%
3 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
114 Passes 318
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
1 Box Touches 15
6 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo squeezed past Monagas 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Carabobo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Carabobo had 31% of the ball to Monagas's 69%, shots finished 3-12, expected goals 0.28 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carabobo and 0.33 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Monagas?

Carabobo 1-0 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 38%, draw 32%, Monagas 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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