Carabobo 1-0 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 14 Nov 2024

📅14/11/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
24%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
67%
-13.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+12.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.4pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 14%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.26/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.26
+20% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 71%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.5 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Monagas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.76 xG 0.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
265 Passes 322
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
31.10.2024 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
09.08.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
19.02.2024 Monagas Monagas 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
13.08.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
01.04.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 3-0 HT 2-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
16.10.2022 Monagas Monagas 2-1 HT 1-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
1-0
AWAY Monagas
0.98 xG 0.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
274 Passes 237
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo squeezed past Monagas 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Carabobo had 50% of the ball to Monagas's 50%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.98 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carabobo and 0.67 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Monagas?

Carabobo 1-0 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 53%, draw 23%, Monagas 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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