Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes De Merida Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo La Guaira v Estudiantes De Merida — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes De Merida Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Deportivo La Guaira
VEN
1-3
HT 1-2
Estudiantes De Merida
VEN
1-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo La Guaira
VEN
Deportivo La Guaira 3-1 Estudiantes De Merida — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo La Guaira saw off Estudiantes De Merida 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 50% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 50%, shots finished 20-18, expected goals 1.54 to 1.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.33 for Estudiantes De Merida.
What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes De Merida?
Deportivo La Guaira 3-1 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes De Merida?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 47%, draw 27%, Estudiantes De Merida 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.