West Ham United 2-2 Brentford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 9 Mar 2026

📅09/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.33
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.65
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
10%
7.58
X/2
14%
4.81
X/X
10%
5.11
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
19%
2.62
2/X
5%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.65 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -51%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
227 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Brentford
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.99 xG 1.77
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
320 Passes 397
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 36
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2025 West Ham United West Ham United 0-2 HT 0-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
15.02.2025 West Ham United West Ham United 0-1 HT 0-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
28.09.2024 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
26.02.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 4-2 HT 2-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
04.11.2023 Brentford Brentford 3-2 HT 1-2 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
14.05.2023 Brentford Brentford 2-0 HT 2-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
2-2
AWAY Brentford
2.84 xG 3.01
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 6
434 Passes 425
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 44
27 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Brentford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United and Brentford couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Brentford at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, West Ham United had 51% of the ball to Brentford's 49%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.84 to 3.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brentford led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for West Ham United and 1.83 for Brentford.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Brentford?

West Ham United 2-2 Brentford in the England - FA Cup on 09/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Brentford?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 33%, draw 24%, Brentford 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brentford) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brentford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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