Brentford 1-1 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.97
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.25
X/1
12%
5.15
X/2
14%
6.77
X/X
9%
5.12
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
23.6
2/2
14%
4.36
2/X
7%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 6% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brentford EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.44/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.66
+1% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.9 Crosses 18.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brentford
4W-0D-2L
AWAY West Ham United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.75 xG 1.03
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
402 Passes 359
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.02.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 4-2 HT 2-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
04.11.2023 Brentford Brentford 3-2 HT 1-2 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
14.05.2023 Brentford Brentford 2-0 HT 2-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
07.01.2023 Brentford Brentford 0-1 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United FAK
30.12.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 0-2 HT 0-2 Brentford Brentford İNP
10.04.2022 Brentford Brentford 2-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brentford
1-1
AWAY West Ham United
0.37 xG 0.99
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
425 Passes 316
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 39
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brentford vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford and West Ham United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Brentford at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Brentford had 57% of the ball to West Ham United's 43%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.37 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brentford had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Brentford and 1.17 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Brentford vs West Ham United?

Brentford 1-1 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brentford vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Brentford 43%, draw 24%, West Ham United 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brentford), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brentford) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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