Newcastle United vs Manchester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle United v Manchester City — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle United vs Manchester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Manchester City
İNLK
1-0
HT 1-0
Newcastle United
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Newcastle United
İNP
3-3
HT 2-1
Manchester City
İNP
5-0
HT 2-0
Newcastle United
İNP
Newcastle United 1-1 Manchester City — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle United and Manchester City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Manchester City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Newcastle United had 38% of the ball to Manchester City's 62%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.57 to 0.91.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Newcastle United and 2.33 for Manchester City.
What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Manchester City?
Newcastle United 1-1 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Manchester City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 28%, draw 24%, Manchester City 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5 went the other way.