Nottingham Forest 0-1 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
3.52
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
21%
5.19
X/2
18%
5.99
X/X
15%
4.04
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
14%
4.32
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +19%
1.52/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.38
+6% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
19.6 Crosses 20.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Fulham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.88 xG 1.65
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
278 Passes 476
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 3-1 HT 3-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
06.12.2023 Fulham Fulham 5-0 HT 2-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
11.02.2023 Fulham Fulham 2-0 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
16.09.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-3 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
26.04.2022 Fulham Fulham 0-1 HT 0-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
24.10.2021 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-4 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
0-1
AWAY Fulham
0.80 xG 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
278 Passes 459
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
33 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham squeezed past Nottingham Forest 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Fulham made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 41% of the ball to Fulham's 59%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.80 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fulham led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nottingham Forest and 2.50 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Fulham?

Nottingham Forest 0-1 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 34%, draw 28%, Fulham 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fulham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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