Nottingham Forest 3-1 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.79
1/2
10%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
9%
5.79
X/2
13%
5.57
X/X
9%
4.65
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
10%
3.59
2/X
11%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.29/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.32
+10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
20.0 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Fulham
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.69 xG 1.45
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
274 Passes 449
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2023 Fulham Fulham 5-0 HT 2-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
11.02.2023 Fulham Fulham 2-0 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
16.09.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-3 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
26.04.2022 Fulham Fulham 0-1 HT 0-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
24.10.2021 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-4 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNCL
07.07.2020 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-1 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
3-1
AWAY Fulham
1.53 xG 1.50
33% Ball Possession 67%
16 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
252 Passes 551
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest beat Fulham 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nottingham Forest as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 33% of the ball to Fulham's 67%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.53 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fulham led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nottingham Forest and 2.50 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Fulham?

Nottingham Forest 3-1 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 42%, draw 25%, Fulham 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nottingham Forest), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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