Bournemouth 1-0 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Apr 2024

Bournemouth
1-0 HT 0-0
Crystal Palace
📅02/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.47
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
17%
4.35
X/2
11%
7.95
X/X
12%
5.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.7
2/2
10%
5.72
2/X
6%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bournemouth v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.41/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.40
+13% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +21%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.7 Crosses 15.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bournemouth
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Crystal Palace
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.78 xG 0.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
388 Passes 316
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.12.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-2 HT 0-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
13.05.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-0 HT 1-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
31.12.2022 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-2 HT 0-2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
15.09.2020 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNLK
20.06.2020 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-2 HT 0-2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
03.12.2019 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-0 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP

Bournemouth 1-0 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bournemouth
1-0
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.10 xG 0.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
349 Passes 350
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bournemouth squeezed past Crystal Palace 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bournemouth as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bournemouth had 50% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 50%, shots finished 11-3, expected goals 1.10 to 0.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Bournemouth and 1.17 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace?

Bournemouth 1-0 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 47%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bournemouth) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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