Burnley 1-1 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.25
1/2
9%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
16%
5.08
X/2
14%
6.09
X/X
15%
4.78
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
10%
4.18
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.48/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.43
-6% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.8 Crosses 15.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.36 xG 0.89
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
240 Passes 400
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.12.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 1-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
24.04.2022 Burnley Burnley 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
01.12.2021 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-0 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
25.04.2021 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-4 HT 0-3 Burnley Burnley İNP
21.12.2020 Burnley Burnley 2-1 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
15.07.2020 Burnley Burnley 1-1 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burnley
1-1
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.34 xG 0.90
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
392 Passes 395
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
36 Box Touches 20
34 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Burnley vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley and Wolverhampton shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Burnley had 51% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 49%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.34 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Burnley and 0.50 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

Burnley 1-1 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Burnley 39%, draw 28%, Wolverhampton 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Burnley), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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