CD Olimpia 1-1 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 9 Mar 2026

📅09/03/2026 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.9pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.5pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.75/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.07
+18% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Espana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
27.10.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
17.08.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
26.05.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-1 HT 2-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
23.05.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-2 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
31.03.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
30.01.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia and Real Espana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Olimpia and 0.83 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Real Espana?

CD Olimpia 1-1 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 09/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 47%, draw 22%, Real Espana 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Olimpia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
9 Mar 2026
00:00 CD Victoria vs Genesis PN Analysis →