Real Espana 1-0 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
45%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+5.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.17/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.75
+10% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +47%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CD Olimpia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
07.11.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
02.09.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
05.05.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
02.05.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
08.04.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
12.02.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana edged past CD Olimpia 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Espana and 1.33 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs CD Olimpia?

Real Espana 1-0 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 27%, draw 28%, CD Olimpia 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Olimpia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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