Juticalpa 1-0 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.2pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 31%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -26%
1.70/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.82
+18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juticalpa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
07.11.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 3-0 HT 2-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
01.09.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 4-1 HT 2-1 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
POST-MATCH Juticalpa vs Lobos UPNFM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juticalpa nicked a narrow win over Lobos UPNFM 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Juticalpa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Juticalpa and 2.00 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of Juticalpa vs Lobos UPNFM?

Juticalpa 1-0 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juticalpa vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juticalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Juticalpa 47%, draw 30%, Lobos UPNFM 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juticalpa), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juticalpa) ✓ BTTS No
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