CD Real Sociedad 2-2 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+0.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 42%
-12% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -6%
0.89/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.96
-35% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Real Sociedad
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Olancho
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
5 Corners 9
28.10.2024 Olancho Olancho 2-2 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
19.08.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
14.03.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
29.01.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-1 HT 0-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
23.10.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
28.08.2023 Olancho Olancho 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH CD Real Sociedad vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Real Sociedad and Olancho couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CD Real Sociedad and 0.83 for Olancho.

What was the final score of CD Real Sociedad vs Olancho?

CD Real Sociedad 2-2 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Real Sociedad vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CD Real Sociedad 34%, draw 30%, Olancho 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olancho), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olancho) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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