Olancho 2-2 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.16
No
47%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.8pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 19%
-14% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.66/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.99
-19% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
9 Corners 5
19.08.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
14.03.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
29.01.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-1 HT 0-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
23.10.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
28.08.2023 Olancho Olancho 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
24.04.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho and CD Real Sociedad shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Olancho carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Olancho and 0.17 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Olancho vs CD Real Sociedad?

Olancho 2-2 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Olancho 55%, draw 28%, CD Real Sociedad 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olancho) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olancho) ✓ BTTS Yes
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