CD Victoria 4-0 Juticalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.8pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.29/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.68
-27% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Juticalpa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.08.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Juticalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria swept aside Juticalpa 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Victoria as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Juticalpa?

CD Victoria 4-0 Juticalpa in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Juticalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Victoria win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 52%, draw 24%, Juticalpa 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Victoria), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Victoria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
28 Oct 2024
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