CD Olimpia 3-1 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.37
Draw
31%
4.49
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
69%
-17.3pp
31%
Draw
19%
+11.4pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
2.33/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.95
+10% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Espana
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
02.05.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
08.04.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
12.02.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
02.10.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
06.08.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-0 HT 2-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
09.04.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia got the better of Real Espana 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CD Olimpia and 0.67 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Real Espana?

CD Olimpia 3-1 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 51%, draw 31%, Real Espana 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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