CD Olimpia 1-0 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +5%
2.34/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.52
+21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Espana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.09.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
05.05.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
02.05.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
08.04.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
12.02.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
02.10.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia nicked a narrow win over Real Espana 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Olimpia and 1.00 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Real Espana?

CD Olimpia 1-0 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 52%, draw 24%, Real Espana 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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