Marathon vs Motagua Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marathon v Motagua — Team-Based Signals
Marathon vs Motagua Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-2
Motagua
HON
2-1
HT 1-0
Marathon
HON
2-1
HT 0-0
Motagua
HON
Marathon nicked a narrow win over Motagua 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Motagua at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Marathon and 1.33 for Motagua.
What was the final score of Marathon vs Motagua?
Marathon 2-1 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marathon vs Motagua?
Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Marathon 32%, draw 27%, Motagua 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.