CD Olimpia 4-1 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 26 May 2025

📅26/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
36%
3.04
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.5pp
36%
Draw
30%
+6.1pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -21%
1.58/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.49
+6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Espana
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.05.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-2 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
31.03.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
30.01.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
07.11.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
02.09.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
05.05.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia swept aside Real Espana 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CD Olimpia and 1.00 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Real Espana?

CD Olimpia 4-1 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 42%, draw 36%, Real Espana 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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