Oxford United 1-3 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 9 Apr 2025

Oxford United
1-3 HT 0-2
Queens Park Rangers
📅09/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Oxford United vs Queens Park Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
5.54
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.76
1/2
12%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.45
X/1
14%
5.07
X/2
11%
5.96
X/X
11%
3.59
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
12%
4.81
2/X
9%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oxford United v Queens Park Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.25/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.20
-6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
14.8 Crosses 17.7
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Oxford United vs Queens Park Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford United
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.41 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
415 Passes 368
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.12.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Oxford United Oxford United İNCL
29.07.2023 Oxford United Oxford United 5-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers HAZ
24.08.2021 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-0 HT 2-0 Oxford United Oxford United İNLK
20.07.2019 Oxford United Oxford United 1-2 HT 1-2 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers HAZ

Oxford United 1-3 Queens Park Rangers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
1-3
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
0.60 xG 1.42
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
304 Passes 290
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oxford United vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers saw off Oxford United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Queens Park Rangers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oxford United had 52% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 48%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.60 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Queens Park Rangers led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Oxford United and 1.50 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Oxford United vs Queens Park Rangers?

Oxford United 1-3 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 37%, draw 29%, Queens Park Rangers 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oxford United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oxford United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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