Coventry 1-0 Portsmouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.81
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.06
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
22%
4.22
X/2
7%
10.5
X/X
9%
5.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.8
2/2
10%
8.26
2/X
9%
16.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.57/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.75
+3% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
22.9 Crosses 18.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Portsmouth
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.42 xG 1.71
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
216 Passes 204
65% Pass Accuracy 65%
12 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-1 HT 2-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
11.02.2020 Coventry Coventry 1-0 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
20.08.2019 Portsmouth Portsmouth 3-3 HT 2-1 Coventry Coventry İN1
22.04.2019 Portsmouth Portsmouth 2-1 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İN1
02.10.2018 Coventry Coventry 0-1 HT 0-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
09.08.2016 Coventry Coventry 2-2 HT 0-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
1-0
AWAY Portsmouth
1.33 xG 0.97
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
410 Passes 183
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
33 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Portsmouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry nicked a narrow win over Portsmouth 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Coventry as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Coventry had 65% of the ball to Portsmouth's 35%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.33 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portsmouth led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Coventry and 2.00 for Portsmouth.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Portsmouth?

Coventry 1-0 Portsmouth in the England - Championship on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Portsmouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Coventry 52%, draw 25%, Portsmouth 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coventry) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coventry) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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