Portsmouth vs Coventry Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portsmouth v Coventry — Team-Based Signals
Portsmouth vs Coventry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Portsmouth
İN1
3-3
HT 2-1
Coventry
İN1
2-1
HT 0-1
Coventry
İN1
0-1
HT 0-1
Portsmouth
İN1
2-2
HT 0-1
Portsmouth
İNLK
2-0
HT 1-0
Coventry
İN1
Portsmouth 4-1 Coventry — Actual Match Statistics
Portsmouth cruised past Coventry 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Portsmouth found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Portsmouth had 44% of the ball to Coventry's 56%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 2.06 to 1.75.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portsmouth had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Portsmouth and 1.17 for Coventry.
What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Coventry?
Portsmouth 4-1 Coventry in the England - Championship on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Coventry?
Before kick-off our model rated an Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 35%, draw 26%, Coventry 39%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.