Leeds United 4-0 Oxford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.36
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
31.0
X/1
14%
3.32
X/2
5%
31.0
X/X
11%
8.81
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
4%
26.0
2/X
6%
31.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
80%
-12.9pp
21%
Draw
14%
+6.8pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+6.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.7pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford United EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.05/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.90
-21% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -11%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 70%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.9
21.8 Crosses 10.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Oxford United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
24.07.2018 Oxford United Oxford United 4-3 HT 3-0 Leeds United Leeds United HAZ
28.08.2012 Leeds United Leeds United 3-0 HT 2-0 Oxford United Oxford United İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
4-0
AWAY Oxford United
2.98 xG 0.89
69% Ball Possession 31%
23 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 0
535 Passes 214
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
46 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Oxford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United ran out comfortable winners over Oxford United 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Leeds United had 69% of the ball to Oxford United's 31%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.98 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Leeds United and 2.00 for Oxford United.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Oxford United?

Leeds United 4-0 Oxford United in the England - Championship on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Oxford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 67%, draw 21%, Oxford United 12%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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