Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 21 Dec 2024

Sheffield Wednesday
2-0 HT 0-0
Stoke City
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Sheffield Wednesday vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 26% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.37
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
23%
4.11
X/2
12%
8.76
X/X
11%
4.97
2/1
12%
24.3
2/2
9%
6.78
2/X
5%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sheffield Wednesday v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
2.20/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.39
-3% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
25.8 Crosses 18.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Sheffield Wednesday vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stoke City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.83 xG 1.71
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
226 Passes 268
65% Pass Accuracy 68%
15 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
09.12.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
16.02.2021 Stoke City Stoke City 1-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
28.11.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
26.12.2019 Stoke City Stoke City 3-2 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
22.10.2019 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL

Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
AWAY Stoke City
1.54 xG 2.31
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
135 Passes 238
57% Pass Accuracy 69%
5 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sheffield Wednesday vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday saw off Stoke City 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sheffield Wednesday as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sheffield Wednesday had 40% of the ball to Stoke City's 60%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 1.54 to 2.31 — on chances, Stoke City could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sheffield Wednesday and 0.83 for Stoke City.

What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs Stoke City?

Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield Wednesday vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield Wednesday win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sheffield Wednesday 49%, draw 23%, Stoke City 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday)
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