Millwall 1-0 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.86
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.43
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
16%
4.71
X/2
16%
6.08
X/X
12%
3.83
2/1
9%
33.0
2/2
12%
4.9
2/X
8%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.7pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.32/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.23
-6% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 74%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
22.3 Crosses 13.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.02 xG 1.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
259 Passes 407
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.03.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
24.10.2023 Millwall Millwall 1-2 HT 1-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
08.05.2023 Millwall Millwall 3-4 HT 3-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
01.10.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
08.03.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
14.08.2021 Millwall Millwall 1-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
1-0
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.00 xG 0.47
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
233 Passes 142
65% Pass Accuracy 56%
34 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Millwall vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall squeezed past Blackburn Rovers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Millwall made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Millwall had 59% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 41%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.00 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Millwall and 1.67 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Millwall vs Blackburn Rovers?

Millwall 1-0 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Millwall 39%, draw 28%, Blackburn Rovers 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millwall), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Millwall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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