Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 5 Mar 2024

Blackburn Rovers
1-1 HT 0-0
Millwall
📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.53
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
17%
4.54
X/2
13%
6.44
X/X
15%
4.02
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
11%
5.09
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Blackburn Rovers v Millwall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +25%
1.50/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.24
+9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
16.6 Crosses 17.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Millwall
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
356 Passes 272
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Millwall Millwall 1-2 HT 1-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
08.05.2023 Millwall Millwall 3-4 HT 3-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
01.10.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
08.03.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
14.08.2021 Millwall Millwall 1-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
06.03.2021 Millwall Millwall 0-2 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL

Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Millwall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
1-1
AWAY Millwall
0.60 xG 0.25
69% Ball Possession 31%
11 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
589 Passes 201
83% Pass Accuracy 63%
21 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers and Millwall couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Blackburn Rovers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 69% of the ball to Millwall's 31%, shots finished 11-3, expected goals 0.60 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 1.00 for Millwall.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall?

Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Millwall in the England - Championship on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 44%, draw 26%, Millwall 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Blackburn Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
5 Mar 2024
22:45 Hull City vs Birmingham Analysis →
22:45 Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth Argyle Analysis →
22:45 Sunderland vs Leicester City Analysis →
22:45 Leeds United vs Stoke City Analysis →
22:45 Coventry vs Rotherham United Analysis →
23:00 Ipswich Town vs Bristol City Analysis →