Coventry 5-0 Rotherham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.23
2-3 Goals
44%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.55
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
21.85
X/1
23%
3.45
X/2
6%
18.15
X/X
7%
7.42
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
6%
14.3
2/X
7%
22.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
68%
-8.6pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.7pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.46/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.99
-30% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
406 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
19.7 Crosses 15.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Rotherham United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.75 xG 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
236 Passes 203
63% Pass Accuracy 63%
24 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2023 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
18.02.2023 Rotherham United Rotherham United 0-2 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
25.10.2022 Coventry Coventry 2-2 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
15.04.2021 Rotherham United Rotherham United 0-1 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
05.12.2020 Coventry Coventry 3-1 HT 2-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
25.02.2020 Coventry Coventry 1-1 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
5-0
AWAY Rotherham United
2.05 xG 0.96
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
431 Passes 354
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Rotherham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry cruised past Rotherham United 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Coventry as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Coventry had 53% of the ball to Rotherham United's 47%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.05 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Coventry and 1.00 for Rotherham United.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Rotherham United?

Coventry 5-0 Rotherham United in the England - Championship on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Rotherham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Coventry 60%, draw 23%, Rotherham United 18%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coventry), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coventry) ✓ Over 2.5
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