Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 5 Mar 2024

Sheffield Wednesday
1-0 HT 0-0
Plymouth Argyle
📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.6
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
13%
4.28
X/2
6%
7.62
X/X
13%
4.69
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
11%
5.81
2/X
8%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sheffield Wednesday v Plymouth Argyle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.47/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.66
-18% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 75%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
24.3 Crosses 9.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth Argyle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.42 xG 0.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
289 Passes 281
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.10.2023 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-0 HT 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
04.02.2023 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
04.10.2022 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-1 HT 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İN1
15.01.2022 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 4-2 HT 2-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
16.11.2021 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-0 HT 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday FAK
07.11.2021 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle FAK

Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 Plymouth Argyle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
1-0
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.70 xG 0.57
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
286 Passes 244
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday nicked a narrow win over Plymouth Argyle 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sheffield Wednesday as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sheffield Wednesday had 54% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 46%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.70 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Plymouth Argyle led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sheffield Wednesday and 1.67 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth Argyle?

Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield Wednesday win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sheffield Wednesday 46%, draw 27%, Plymouth Argyle 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday)
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